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Global Catastrophes and Trends

The Next 50 Years

Vaclav Smil
Livre broché | Anglais | The MIT Press
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Description

A wide-ranging, interdisciplinary look at global changes that may occur over the next fifty years--whether sudden and cataclysmic world-changing events or gradually unfolding trends.

Fundamental change occurs most often in one of two ways: as a "fatal discontinuity," a sudden catastrophic event that is potentially world changing, or as a persistent, gradual trend. Global catastrophes include volcanic eruptions, viral pandemics, wars, and large-scale terrorist attacks; trends are demographic, environmental, economic, and political shifts that unfold over time. In this provocative book, scientist Vaclav Smil takes a wide-ranging, interdisciplinary look at the catastrophes and trends the next fifty years may bring.

Smil first looks at rare but cataclysmic events, both natural and human-produced, then at trends of global importance, including the transition from fossil fuels to other energy sources and growing economic and social inequality. He also considers environmental change--in some ways an amalgam of sudden discontinuities and gradual change--and assesses the often misunderstood complexities of global warming.

Global Catastrophes and Trends does not come down on the side of either doom-and-gloom scenarios or techno-euphoria. Instead, Smil argues that understanding change will help us reverse negative trends and minimize the risk of catastrophe.

Spécifications

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Auteur(s) :
Editeur:

Contenu

Nombre de pages :
320
Langue:
Anglais
Collection :

Caractéristiques

EAN:
9780262518222
Date de parution :
14-09-12
Format:
Livre broché
Format numérique:
Trade paperback (VS)
Dimensions :
171 mm x 222 mm
Poids :
480 g

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